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Publication date: March 13, 2025
It is Thursday, March 13, and the AEX is at 896 in the opening session. This is a decrease of 20 points (2.15%) from last week's reading.
What happened on the AEX in the past week?
The AEX opened Monday at the weekly high of 914. As in past weeks, this week's high was also set on Monday. On Tuesday, the AEX slumped hard to the provisional weekly low at 887. On Wednesday, the stock market recovered to 902. The high volatility continued last week.
What does this mean for sentiment on the AEX?
Sentiment on the AEX has deteriorated for the short term, which means the correction is expected to go deeper. The long-term remains positive.
What is the expectation on the AEX?
The AEX has started to correct from the 945 level as expected. The course of the past week gives room for an even deeper correction to the 850-830 zone. Before the correction is completed, we first expect a recovery move up to around 915. From the 850-830 zone, the AEX is expected to pick up the larger uptrend and round out to our price target at 980.
Above is the chart of the AEX over the past 6 months. The arrows indicate our already expected trend and the most likely scenario for the coming months.
What happened on the Nasdaq this past week?
The Nasdaq futures are currently at 19,500 which is 1,050 points (5.1%) lower than last week's reading.
The Nasdaq futures opened the trading week at 20,145 points and fell through to 19,139 on Tuesday. A slight recovery to 19,800 followed on Wednesday.
What is the expectation for the Nasdaq future?
The short-term expectation for the Nasdaq is that the price will find support in the 19,150 - 18,850 zone and could make a recovery in the coming week. This recovery could go up to a maximum of around 20,600. From that level, the most likely scenario is that the Nasdaq futures will start to finish the deeper correction by falling to around 17,500. For the longer term, the Nasdaq will pick up the larger uptrend from 17,500 with a preliminary price target of 24,000.
Below is the chart of the Nasdaq futures over the past 7 months with the most likely scenario.
What happened on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Index over the past week?
The DJIA is currently trading at 41,200 points, which is 1,660 points (3.9%) lower than last week's reading.
The DJIA opened the week at 42,700. This was also the highest weekly reading. The lowest weekly reading was set on Wednesday at 41,040.
What is the outlook for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index?
Based on the DJIA's price performance over the past week, we should expect near-term support around the 40,000 level. From that level, the DJIA can start a recovery move to around 41,700. For the DJIA, according to our algorithm, the correction will go deeper and may reach 38,300. From that level, the DJIA is expected to continue its upward trend again up to the preliminary price target of 48,000 points.
Below is the chart of DJIA futures from early 2024 with the most likely scenario plotted.
Every Sunday morning we publish the agenda for the coming week. Would you like to receive the stock market agenda by mail? You can sign up here. In the economic calendar, we cover the most important topics through an explanation and vision. Read the agenda for the week from March 10 to 14, 2025 here and from Sunday morning, you can read the agenda for the week from March 17 to 21, 2025 here.
Disclaimer: Investing involves risk. Our analysts are not financial advisors. Always consult an advisor when making financial decisions. The information and tips provided on this website are based on our analysts' own insights and experiences. They are therefore for educational purposes only.
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