Publication date: August 1, 2025

The week ahead: US-China trade talks

In Money Care's weekend report, we present the overview of the (macro-economic) events that could cause movement in stock markets.

Review of last week:

As expected, the Fed kept US interest rates unchanged. Short-term interest rates remained at 4.5%. U.S. Gross Domestic Product unexpectedly rose to 3% for the third quarter and core U.S. inflation rose more than expected to 2.8% on a year-over-year basis in June. This gives no reason for the Fed to start cutting interest rates which put pressure on equity markets.

The important monthly US labor figures (NFP) were slightly disappointing for economic development, with the number of new jobs in July falling slightly short of expectations and the June figure being revised slightly downward. This could give another positive boost to the stock market but , however, did not lead to a positive market reaction.


Coming week:

In the coming week there are no important macro-economic figures published that we expect to cause major price movements.

However, there is an important consultation between the US and China on August 4. This is a bilateral security and trade meeting, with the prospect of a possible extension of the current tariff break from 50 to 30 percent, which expires on August 12. The week of Aug. 4 will reveal whether or not the pause will be extended, which will have a major impact on trade and the economy.

The stock market calendar week 32

Herewith the most important macro-economic data for the coming week. The data may cause additional movement in the financial markets.

Monday, August 4 to Friday, August 8, 2025:

No important macroeconomic data.

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