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Publication date: June 12, 2025
It is Thursday, June 12. The AEX stands at 931 in the morning session, 8 points (0.85%) higher than last week's reading.
What happened on the AEX in the past week?
The AEX closed strong at 929 last week and continued its advance this week. The preliminary weekly high was set at 940. On Wednesday, the AEX managed to close at 938, breaking the strong barrier at 935.
What does this mean for sentiment on the AEX?
Sentiment on the AEX is positive. The important macro-economic figures have been and vall and generally not so bad, and the dark cloud of the trade war seems to have cleared temporarily.
What is the outlook for the AEX?
In our algorithm's most likely scenario, the AEX had been setting up for a further rise for some time. Last Tuesday, the system generated a buy signal at the 932 level. The price target is at 1050, with a preliminary stop loss at 895. The expectation is thus set. Leading up to the price target, we should expect some resistance around the 935 and 950 levels.
Above is the chart of the AEX over the past three months. The arrows indicate the most likely scenario for the coming months.
What happened on the Nasdaq this past week?
The Nasdaq futures are at 21,820 on Thursday morning, June 12, which is 80 points (0.35%) higher than last week's reading.
The Nasdaq futures also closed the previous week strong with a closing price of 21,800. On Wednesday, the future reached its weekly high at 22,100. Currently, the price is correcting and fluctuating again around last week's close.
What is the expectation for the Nasdaq futures?
In the most likely scenario, the 22,100 has been the short-term temporary top, and the Nasdaq futures may show a slight correction to the 21,000 level. From that level, the Nasdaq may continue the advance toward the initial price target at 24,000.
Around the 21,000 level, a speculative buy position can be considered. With a close above 22,400, a buy position can also be considered.
Below is the chart of the Nasdaq futures from January with the most likely scenario.
What happened on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Index this past week?
The DJIA is currently trading at 42,650 points, which is 90 points (0.2%) higher than last week's reading.
The DJIA is showing the same pattern as the Nasdaq and AEX over the past week: a strong close last week that continued this week. Wednesday's high was set at 43,150. Currently, the DJIA is correcting and is back around last week's close.
What is the outlook for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index?
From the current level, there is room for a further decline to around 41,200. Then up to 44,000. The price target remains 48,000.
Below is the chart of the DJIA futures from the end of 2024 with the most likely scenario plotted.
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In the agenda, we cover the most important topics through an explanation and vision. Read the agenda for the week from June 9 to 13, 2025 here, and from Friday afternoon, you can read the agenda for the week from June 16 to June 20, 2025, here.
Disclaimer: Investing involves risk. Our analysts are not financial advisors. Always consult an advisor when making financial decisions. The information and tips provided on this website are based on our analysts' own insights and experiences. They are therefore for educational purposes only.
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