We do not immediately expect Ajax to repeat the hegemony of 2017-2019 and quickly rise to €25 from this share price level. However, we can say that the current valuation is only 10% higher than at the time when Ajax was near the bottom and in a considerable crisis. This seems to us too low a valuation in the current situation.
As reported, much depends on participation in the UEFA Champions League. This remains somewhat uncertain. Should Ajax not participate, we do not expect the share price to fall much further than the level during the crisis in October 2023 at €9.
If Ajax does seize the realistic opportunities to participate, the share price could experience a substantial percentage increase this year and possibly also in the coming years to approximately € 15 to € 17 (+50% to +70%).
Conclusion
A soccer club and its share price know the necessary emotions and are therefore more subject to sporting Good times, bad times. Ajax has experienced this in recent years; from European topper to relegation candidate in the Netherlands. Currently, the sporting road upwards has been somewhat regained and it is administratively quiet within the club. With the current price of around €10, the share is low valued but the club has real opportunities to achieve sporting - and business successes this year. As a result, it is currently worth considering taking Ajax shares into your portfolio for the longer term.
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