Publication date: February 26, 2026

AEX

It is Thursday, February 26. The AEX notes 1,030 points in the opening session, an increase of 18 points , or 1.75 percent from last week.

What happened on the AEX in the past week?

In the past week, the AEX managed to break the previous high of 1,017 points. Monday morning the index opened at 1,016 points, but led in particular by the heavyweight technology stocks, the AEX reached its highest level of the week at 1,031 points on Thursday for now.

Sentiment

Market sentiment around the AEX remains mostly positive. The market does take into account an upcoming interim correction.

Forecast

As expected, the AEX has broken out above 1,018 points and is on its way to the short-term price target. In the most likely scenario, the algorithm expects a short rebound to the 1,020 level and then to continue rising towards the adjusted short-term price target of 1,045 points.

After reaching that level, a more extensive correction towards the zone around 975 points may occur. Such a decline could technically form the basis for another structural upward phase towards the 12-month price target of 1,070 points.

A closing below 910 points invalidates the positive long-term scenario. In that case, the technical picture shifts to a neutral phase with increased downside risk. As long as the 910 point level holds, the positive long-term picture remains intact.

Above is the chart of the AEX as of July 2025. The arrows illustrate the most likely scenario for the coming months.

Nasdaq futures

The Nasdaq futures listed 25,350 points Thursday morning, Feb. 26, up 325 points, or 1.3 percent from last week.

What happened?

The Nasdaq futures have been moving rudderlessly within a narrow range for several weeks. In the past week, the Nasdaq exactly made up the previous week's loss and moved between 25,000 and 25,500 points.

Forecast

In the short term, a test of the zone around 23,500 points remains plausible. From that level, a new bullish phase can be initiated towards 27,000 points.

From that level, a larger correction to the 22,300 zone is plausible. Then, in the most likely scenario, the Nasdaq futures will continue the upward trend toward the long-term price target of at least 28,500 points.

Below is the chart of the Nasdaq futures as of July 2025, showing the most likely scenario.

Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is currently trading at 49,425 points, down 335 points, or 0.65 percent from last week.

What happened?

The index started the week at 49,600, but also had to briefly drop back to the 48,775 level on Monday. Then the DJIA managed to recover quickly back to the zone around 49,500 points.

Forecast

Within the most likely scenario, after a slight short-term decline, the index could rise towards a new provisional top around 51,000 points.

For the medium term, the system then foresees a larger corrective move towards around 47,500 points. This can then form the basis for a new upward phase towards the next price target of 53,700 points.

The positive scenario expires at a close below 45,500 points.

Below is the chart of the DJIA futures from July 2025, in which the most likely scenario is plotted.

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Disclaimer: Investing involves risk. Our analysts are not financial advisors. Always consult an advisor when making financial decisions. The information and tips provided on this website are based on our analysts' own insights and experiences. They are therefore for educational purposes only.