Avalanche: AVAX positioned for the next rally
Publication date: October 2, 2025
For our readers, Avalanche is not a new project. On March 27, 2025, we already covered this Layer-1 network and discussed, among other things, the introduction of Subnets 2.0, an important step in the further development of the platform. Now, six months later, we take another look at how Avalanche has developed and what the prospects are for the AVAX token towards the end of this year.
Our previous article called: Avalanche awakens: opportunities after correction can be read back here.
New phase of adoption
Since the introduction of Subnets 2.0 earlier this year, Avalanche has further solidified its position in the blockchain world. Whereas the focus in March was mainly on gaming and payment solutions, we now see the emphasis shifting to institutional applications and tokenization of traditional assets.
In July 2025, a pilot was completed in which BlackRock and Franklin Templeton used Avalanche subnets to issue tokenized bonds. This attracted wide attention in the financial industry and confirmed Avalanche's role as an infrastructure for Real World Asset (RWA) applications.
Circle (issuer of USDC) also expanded USDC support on Avalanche subnets in August, strengthening liquidity within the ecosystem. Avalanche's market capitalization currently stands at nearly $13 billion, placing the project 14th in the global cryptocurrency ranking. This underscores the solid position Avalanche has managed to secure within the market.
Recent developments:
In the second half of 2025, Avalanche has once again shown that it continues to innovate and further solidify its position within the cryptocurrency market. Where previously the focus was on the launch of Subnets 2.0 and collaborations with big names, there have been some recent significant steps again that appeal to both users and institutional parties. The three most notable developments are as follows:
1. Lower transaction fees due to major upgrades: Avalanche received two major updates in 2025 (Octane and Etna) that almost completely eliminated transaction fees. For users, this means you can now send or trade small amounts of money on the network much cheaper and faster. This immediately caused much more activity on Avalanche.
2. New "Evergreen Subnets" for businesses: Avalanche has launched special subnets designed for large corporations and financial institutions. These subnets are flexible and can be adapted to rules such as customer controls (KYC) and privacy requirements. This makes it easier for banks, insurers and other companies to use Avalanche for their own applications.
3.A $1 billion buyout plan: A new organization working closely with the Avalanche Foundation has announced plans to buy up as much as $1 billion worth of AVAX tokens. This may eventually create additional demand for the token, which could favorably affect the price. It also plans to invest in new projects and applications within the Avalanche network.
These developments show that Avalanche is not only committed to technological progress, but is also working strategically to build a stronger position towards institutional parties and the broader crypto market. In doing so, the project is strengthening its foundation for further growth in 2026 and beyond.
Share price development of Avalanche
Avalanche (AVAX) once again demonstrated in 2025 how volatile the currency can be. The chart below clearly shows that the price has been steadily recovering in recent months, with a clear rebound starting in late June. In early September, AVAX peaked above $35, its highest point since January. A correction followed shortly thereafter and the currency is now trading around $30. That still puts AVAX nearly 80% below its all-time high of $147 (2021), but nearly twice as high as the April 2025 bottom. Thus, there is still a long way to old record levels, but the fundamentals are solid and with continued positive market sentiment, a further rally is quite possible.
Initial support is around $28, a zone that has acted as a safety net in recent weeks. A breakout to the downside brings the $24-$25 range into view, while deeper support can be found around $22-$23. On the upside, key resistance lies between $34-$36, the September top, which must be broken to make room for another rise.
In summary, Avalanche has made a clear advance since our previous article, but is now once again in a decisive phase. As long as the price remains above support around $28, the recovery picture looks solid. However, a convincing trend reversal towards higher levels requires a breakout above the $35-$36 zone. If that succeeds, then the price can regain momentum and rise toward the levels reached in late 2024 and early 2025.
Conclusion
Avalanche has made clear progress in the second half of 2025, with major technological improvements, new institutional applications and a firmer market position. The upgrades that dramatically lowered transaction costs, the introduction of Evergreen Subnets and the announced billion-dollar buyback plan show that the project is able to reach both users and major financial players.
Although the stock price is still far from its all-time high, Avalanche has recovered from previous lows and the network is moving into the future with solid fundamentals. As long as support around $28 holds and adoption of subnets and tokenization continues to increase, AVAX remains one of the most promising Layer-1 projects to continue watching in 2026.
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