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October 2, 2025
It is Thursday, October 2. The AEX notes 958 in the opening session. That is 23 points (2.45%) higher than last week's reading.
What happened on the AEX in the past week?
The AEX opened the week positively at 940 and managed to rise vigorously in the following days to the old high at 952. The current price of 958 is 2 points below the as yet highest weekly high of 960, which is also a record high for the AEX index.
What does this mean for sentiment on the AEX?
Sentiment on the AEX is positive and gaining strength.
What is the expectation on the AEX?
The longer-term expectation is unchanged positive with a price target of 1,050. For the short term, our algorithm's most likely scenario is that the AEX will experience a messy price trend in the 952-960 zone. A close below 952 will allow the index to correct further to around 940 before continuing to rise towards the 1,050 price target.
Below 880, the positive scenario expires and the AEX enters a neutral zone with an increased risk of further decline. As long as 880 holds, the positive scenario remains in place.
Above is the chart of the AEX as of January 2025. The arrows indicate the most likely scenario for the coming months.
What happened on the Nasdaq this past week?
The Nasdaq futures are at 25,060 on Thursday morning, Oct. 2, which is 340 points (1.35%) higher than last week.
After a modest correction to 24,450, the Nasdaq futures have picked up the upward trend over the past week and recorded a new record high this morning at 25,076 points.
What is the outlook for the Nasdaq futures?
The outlook is positive with a price target of 26,500. In the most likely scenario, the Nasdaq will correct slightly to around 24,300 in the near term before continuing to rise towards the price target. With a close below 22,200, the positive scenario expires.
Below is the chart of the Nasdaq futures from January 2025 with the most likely scenario.
What happened on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Index this past week?
The DJIA is currently trading at 46,680 points, which is 230 points (0.5%) higher than last week's reading.
The DJIA experienced a slight correction after last week's record high at 47,051. The correction that followed took the price to 46,095. In recent days, the DJIA managed to resume its upward trend with a weekly high at 46,812.
What is the outlook for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index?
The outlook is positive. In the most likely scenario, the DJIA could undergo a modest correction to around 45,500 in the near term and then reach the price target 49,000. The scenario expires at a close below 43,200.
Below is the chart of DJIA futures from January 2025 with the most likely scenario plotted.
Every Sunday morning we publish the stock market agenda for the coming week. Would you like to receive the stock market agenda by mail? Sign up here.
In the fair agenda we cover the most important topics through an explanation and vision. Read here the stock exchange agenda from September 29 to October 3, 2025 and from Friday afternoon you can read here the stock exchange agenda for the week from October 6 to October 10, 2025.
Disclaimer: Investing involves risk. Our analysts are not financial advisors. Always consult an advisor when making financial decisions. The information and tips provided on this website are based on our analysts' own insights and experiences. They are therefore for educational purposes only.
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