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Publication date: August 14, 2025
Backin April , we called TRON a "silent giant" within Web3. Four months later, the picture is sharper: TRON has not only remained stable in a turbulent market, but has strengthened its grip in key areas. In this article, we will take a closer look at which areas the currency is managing to gain ground. Also, we will discuss expectations for the rate in the future.
Youcan read our previous article on TRON dated April 17, 2025 HERE.
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Quick refresher: what does TRON actually do?
TRON is an independent blockchain network that focuses on fast, low-cost and scalable payment transactions. It has been running since 2017 and processes millions of transactions daily, mainly thanks to its dominant role in the market for stablecoins such as USDT.
Developers use TRON to build applications for payments, DeFi, gaming and, more recently, AI-driven applications. Thanks to its low cost and high speed, the network is popular in regions where traditional payments are expensive or slow.
In recent months, TRON has stormed forward at full speed. In the following sections, we look at what forces have driven this advance and what stops may still be on the way:
Stablecoin dominance as a geopolitical advantage:
Whereas TRON handled 50% of all USDT transactions in April, that share has now risen to over 52%, with daily transactions reaching more than $12 billion in value. This growth comes not only from its existing network in Asia, but mainly from the emergence of new corridors (trade or payment routes) in Africa and South America.
In Nigeria, Kenya and Brazil, among others, TRON is being actively used by fintechs using USDT as an alternative means of payment. This is strategically important: markets with high inflation and capital constraints represent growth points where blockchain offers direct added value.
TRON AI: from concept to practical cases:
The AI layer announced in March is now in beta, demonstrating how TRON AI is more than a marketing term. Pilot projects with AI-driven credit risk analysis are now running on JustLend, where smart contracts automatically adjust loan terms based on on-chain and off-chain data.
In addition, the gaming sector is experimenting with dynamic NFTs generated and adjusted by AI based on player interactions. The goal: by Q4 2025, at least three commercial applications live that combine both blockchain and AI functionality, a combination that has so far hardly been applied at scale.
Government partnerships are becoming more complex:
Cooperation with Belize goes beyond that with Dominica: in addition to digital identities, work is underway on blockchain-based cadastral systems. With these, ownership of land and real estate can be registered and transferred almost instantly, including automatic tax settlement.
For TRON, this means that the ecosystem focuses not only on financial transactions, but also on capturing legal and administrative processes. This increases the likelihood that other governments will see the network as a turnkey solution for digital state infrastructure.
DeFi: consolidation and expansion:
The TVL (total value locked) on TRON increased to $8.1 billion, with JustLend still the backbone. Of interest is the emergence of cross-chain yield farming via BitTorrent Chain (BTTC). This allows liquidity from Ethereum or BNB Chain, for example, to be "imported" into TRON, allowing capital to be efficiently deployed across multiple networks.
Moreover, there is a growing trend of stablecoin-native DeFi on TRON, using USDT as collateral for almost all major lending and trading protocols. This ties directly into TRON's position as the largest USDT processor and reinforces the network effect.
TRON share price development
In our previous article, we indicated that TRON (TRX) moved within a rangebetween $0.21 and $0.26in early 2025.Abreakout above this range, according to our analysis, would pave the way for a further rise and that is exactly what happened. Since breaking through resistance at $0.26, the price has been in a solid uptrend, with a current level around $0.366.
Currently, TRX is testing resistance at $0.37, an important technical tipping point. A convincing breakout and daily close above this level could open the door to the next resistance around $0.40. In the chart below we have shown two scenarios, with scenario 1 having the highest probability of success at this time.
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Scenario 1 (green): Continuation of the current uptrend towards $0.40, whichwould confirm the strongmomentum of recent months.
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Scenario 2 (gray): A pullback to the support area around $0.33, after which a new attempt at a rise could follow.
TRON's upward momentum increased sharply in mid-June, with higher bottoms and rising trading volumes as clear signals. The next few weeks will be crucial in determining whether this trend continues. If buying pressure continues, then TRX may evenapproach the psychological$1.00 mark by 2026 in the medium term.So far, at least, the currency is firmly on course.
What could further drive up the price of TRON
1. Expanding USDT adoption: TRON's growing market share in stablecoin transactions, especially in emerging markets, may further increase demand for TRX.
2. Successful AI integration: Commercial launches of AI applications in DeFi and gaming may attract new users and developers.
3. Government contracts: Further collaborations with states such as Belize and Dominica strengthen TRON's position as an infrastructure for digital government services.
4. DeFi expansion: Increased TVL and cross-chain liquidity through BTTC can bring additional capital and utilization to the network.
What could counteract the price of TRON?
1. Regulatory uncertainty around stablecoins: Stricter regulations in key markets may limit the use of USDT and thus demand for TRX.
2. Delay in AI projects or disappointing adoption may dampen expectations and put pressure on the stock price.
3. Dependence on USDT dominance: A shift to other stablecoins may reduce the network effect.
4. General market corrections: A broad downtrend in the crypto market could drag TRX down, even with strong fundamentals.
Conclusion
TRON has continued to emerge in recent months as a strategic player in the global blockchain ecosystem. The combination of a dominant role in stablecoin transactions, growing DeFi activity, ambitious AI integrations and strategic government projects puts the network firmly in the market.
The price is at a technically important point; a breakout above $0.37 could accelerate the advance toward $0.40 and lay the groundwork for higher levels in 2026. While risks remain, particularly around regulation and market sentiment, TRON's current position is stronger than ever. With the right momentum, the coin could well become one of the best-performing large blockchain projects in the coming years.
Disclaimer: Investing involves risk. Our analysts are not financial advisors. Always consult an advisor when making financial decisions. The information and tips provided on this website are based on our analysts' own insights and experiences. They are therefore for educational purposes only.
