Publication date: March 26, 2026

AEX

The AEX was quoted at 973 points on Thursday morning, March 26.This represents a drop of 9 points, or 0.9 percent from last week.

Market development

Influenced by geopolitical tensions, the AEX opened weakly at 946 points on Monday morning and later that day, in a clear wave of selling, set the lowest level of the week at 942 points. After positive statements about developments in the Middle East by President Donald Trump, the index rebounded in a short time towards 982 points.

At the same time, the price of oil fell about 10 percent, while the price of gold actually rose about 10 percent. These movements underscore the increased level of uncertainty and tension in financial markets. In the following days, the AEX stabilized and volatility remained somewhat limited, partly due to the absence of important macroeconomic figures.

Sentiment

Short-term sentiment around the AEX is uncertain and has slightly negative overtones.

Forecast

The expected decline to around 940 points has now occurred. However, according to the base scenario of our model, this does not yet mark the end of the broader correction.

For the short term, a recovery towards around 995 to 1,000 points is considered likely. From that level, a continuation of the correction is obvious, with a decline in the 940 to 920 points zone.

For the longer term, the price target remains unchanged. The zone between 920 and 940 points can act as the basis for a new upward move toward about 1,070 points over the next 12 months.

A closing below 910 points would invalidate this positive long-term scenario. In that case, the technical picture shifts to a more neutral to negative phase with increasing downside risk. As long as the 910 point level holds, the positive long-term picture remains intact.

Above is the chart of the AEX as of September 2025, showing the expected price movement for the coming months.

Nasdaq futures

The Nasdaq futures are trading at 24,155 points on Thursday morning, March 26.This represents a drop of 405 points, or 1.65 percent from last week.

Market Trend

The Nasdaq futures opened the week weak, reaching the week's low at 23,770 points on Monday. The same day also saw the highest weekly reading at 24,765 points, indicating a highly volatile trading day.In the following days, the price fell slightly and stabilized.

Forecast

The fall to 23,770 points fell within the previously indicated zone in which the short-term correction could end.Based on the current model, a recovery towards around 25,000 points is seen as the most likely scenario.

From that level, we consider another, larger corrective move towards the zone around 22,600 points plausible.Thereafter, the Nasdaq futures could resume the long-term trend, with an upward price target of around 28,500 points.

The chart below shows the Nasdaq futures as of September 2025, including the expected price trend for the coming period.

Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is currently trading at 46,370 points.This represents a drop of 50 points, or 0.1 percent from last week.

Market development

The index also started the week weak, reaching the expected level of 45,500 points on Monday. A strong recovery followed later that day, reaching a weekly high of 47,205 points. In the following days, the index moved slightly lower, but remained relatively stable.On balance, the DJIA held up well after several weaker weeks.

Forecast

After reaching the level of 45,500 points, the index may first consolidate in the short term, after which a recovery towards around 48,100 points is possible.

For the medium term, the model then foresees a larger corrective move towards around 43,200 points. This level is seen as a potential bottom, which can form the basis for a new upward phase towards a price target of around 53,700 points.

The chart below shows the DJIA futures from September 2025, showing the expected price trend.

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In the agenda we cover the most important topics by means of an explanation and vision. Read here the stock exchange agenda from March 23 to March 27, 2026 and from Friday afternoon read here the stock exchange agenda for the week March 30 to April 3, 2026.

Disclaimer: Investing involves risk. Our analysts are not financial advisors. Always consult an advisor when making financial decisions. The information and tips provided on this website are based on our analysts' own insights and experiences. They are therefore for educational purposes only.