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Publication date: June 26, 2025
It is Thursday, June 26. The AEX is at 918 in the opening session. That is 5 points (0.5%) higher than last week's reading.
What happened on the AEX in the past week?
The AEX started the week lower, opening at 907 amid heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. As the situation improved, the index rallied strongly, reaching 930. By Wednesday, a correction brought the AEX back to 914, and it is now trading at 918. This reflects a week of notable volatility, with the index fluctuating within the established range of 907 to 935 that has persisted since mid-May.
What does this mean for sentiment on the AEX?
Sentiment on the AEX is positive but also somewhat uncertain because of the geopolitical situation. Developments in the influential trade war and the Middle East conflict are fairly positive but continue to cause uncertainty.
What is the expectation for the AEX?
The expectation is unchanged. In our algorithm's most likely scenario, the AEX is going to rise to the 1,050 price target. Because of the continued explicit risk of a short price fall, the stop loss is wide and is placed at 870. In the ride to the price target, we should expect some resistance around 935 and 950.
Above is the chart of the AEX as of December 2024. The arrows indicate the most likely scenario for the coming months.
What happened on the Nasdaq last week?
The Nasdaq futures are at 22,535 on Thursday morning, June 26, which is 720 points (3.3%) higher than last week.
The Nasdaq futures thus broke the important 22,400 barrier intraday. The week started slightly lower, but the Nasdaq is showing a lot of strength and is currently trading around its highest level ever!
What is the expectation for the Nasdaq futures?
In the most likely scenario, the Nasdaq futures will continue to rise to 23,700. This sprint will be followed by a correction to around 22,500 before continuing to rise to the new price target at 25,800.
With a close above 22,400, a buy position can be considered.
Below is the chart of the Nasdaq futures from December 2024 with the most likely scenario.
What happened on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Index this past week?
The DJIA is currently trading at 43,415 points, which is 1,115 points (2.6%) higher than last week's reading.
The DJIA opened the week slightly lower and then managed to recover strongly the following day. Currently, the DJIA is trading around its weekly high.
What is the outlook for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index?
Positive. From the current level, there is room for a further rise to around 45,200. Then a correction to around 43,300 and then further up to the new price target at 49,000.
Below is the chart of DJIA futures from October 2024 with the most likely scenario plotted.
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In the Economic Calendar, we cover the most important topics for the coming week. Read the Economic Calendar for June 23-27, 2025, here and from Friday afternoon you can read the agenda for the week of June 30-July 4, 2025 here .
Disclaimer: Investing involves risk. Our analysts are not financial advisors. Always consult an advisor when making financial decisions. The information and tips provided on this website are based on our analysts' own insights and experiences. They are therefore for educational purposes only.
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