Research August 14, 2025

Publication date: August 14, 2025

It is Thursday, August 14. The AEX is at 891 in the morning session. That is 3 points (0.3%) higher than last week's reading.


What happened on the AEX in the past week?

The AEX has continued the recovery started late last week over the past few days with a weekly high at 902 points. Today, the AEX is losing ground and this morning set the provisional lowest weekly reading at 891 points.


What does this mean for sentiment on the AEX?

 

Underlying sentiment on the AEX is positive.

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What is the outlook for the AEX?

The longer-term expectation is unchanged positive. In the most likely scenario of our algorithm, the AEX is going to rise to the price target 1,050.

In the short term, the most likely scenario is that the AEX will go through a final corrective decline to 875-872. This still fits within the pattern and does not affect the long-term positive scenario. The stoploss remains 850.






 

Above is the chart of the AEX as of March 2025. The arrows indicate the most likely scenario for the coming months.

What happened on the Nasdaq this past week?

The Nasdaq futures are at 23,920 on Thursday morning, August 14 which is 420 points (1.8%) higher than last week.

The Nasdaq futures are experiencing a great week where the new high was set at 23,946 points.


What is the outlook for the Nasdaq futures?

For the longer term unchanged positive with price target 26,300. In the most likely scenario, the Nasdaq futures could test the 22,800 level again in the short term and then to continue to rise towards the price target at 26,300.

Below is the chart of the Nasdaq futures from January 2025 with the most likely scenario.

 

Nasdaq_koersverloop_14-08-2025


What happened on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Index this past week?

The DJIA is currently trading at 45,025 points, which is 675 points (1.5%) higher than last week's reading.

The DJIA continues its advance, following last week's correction, strongly. The preliminary weekly high is 45,064. With this, once again, the important 45,300 level is almost reached.

 

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What is the outlook for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index?

For the longer term, the expectation is positive. For the short term, the DJIA may start a short sideways move against the 45,300 level. The expectation in the most likely scenario is then a breakout above 45,300 to finish the positive trend toward price target 49,000. With a closing position above 45,300, we are considering a buy position

Below is the chart of DJIA futures from February 2025 with the most likely scenario plotted.



DJIA_koersverloop_14-08-2025

 

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In the agenda, we discuss the most important topics by means of an explanation and vision. Read the agenda for the week of August 11 through August 15, 2025 here and from Friday afternoon you can read the agenda for the week of August 18 through August 22, 2025 here.



Disclaimer: Investing involves risk. Our analysts are not financial advisors. Always consult an advisor when making financial decisions. The information and tips provided on this website are based on our analysts' own insights and experiences. They are therefore for educational purposes only.