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Publication date: September 11, 2025
It is Thursday, September 11. The AEX is at 903 in the morning session. That is 12 points (1.35%) higher than last week's reading.
What happened on the AEX in the past week?
The AEX is picking up in the past week after a mediocre week. The index opened Monday at 901, fell the same day to the lowest weekly reading at 899, but pulled well through Wednesday to the high at 911. Despite the favorable Producer Price Index published Wednesday afternoon, the AEX fell back to levels just above 900.
What does this mean for sentiment on the AEX?
Underlying sentiment on the AEX is moderately positive.
What is the expectation on the AEX?
The longer-term expectation is positive. In the most likely scenario of our algorithm, the AEX is going to rise to the zone around 940 and eventually to the price target 1,050. With a close below 880, the positive scenario expires and the AEX enters a neutral zone with an increased risk of further decline. As long as 880 holds, the positive scenario remains in place.
Above is the chart of the AEX as of March 2025. The arrows indicate the most likely scenario for the coming months.
What happened on the Nasdaq this past week?
The Nasdaq futures are at 23,930 on Thursday morning, September 11 which is 450 points (1.9%) higher than last week.
The Nasdaq futures are having a great week. After the positive opening price of the week at 23,675, the price pulled through to 24,045 as the highest weekly reading. This level approached the highest level ever.
What is the outlook for Nasdaq futures?
For the longer term unchanged positive with price target 26,300. The short-term correction from 24,000 may continue for a while through a sideways move around 24,000 - 23,500 before breaking through to the price target at 26,300.
Below is the chart of Nasdaq futures from March 2025 with the most likely scenario.
What happened on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Index this past week?
The DJIA is currently trading at 45,575 points, which is 305 points (0.65%) higher than last week's reading.
The DJIA traded nicely sideways above the important 45,300 level over the past week. The weekly low is 45,320 and the high put in at 45,835.
What is the outlook for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index?
For the longer term, the outlook is positive. For the short term, the DJIA may continue the sideways move between 45,800 and 45,300 for a while before completing the positive trend toward price target 49,000. The stoploss for the buy position is raised to a close below 43,300.
Below is the chart of DJIA futures from March 2025 with the most likely scenario plotted.
Every Sunday morning we publish the stock market agenda for the coming week. Would you like to receive the stock market agenda by mail? Sign up here.
In the agenda, we cover the most important subjects with an explanation and vision. Read here the stock exchange agenda from September 8 to September 12, 2025 and from Friday afternoon read here the stock exchange agenda for the week from September 15 to September 19, 2025.
Disclaimer: Investing involves risk. Our analysts are not financial advisors. Always consult an advisor when making financial decisions. The information and tips provided on this website are based on our analysts' own insights and experiences. They are therefore for educational purposes only.
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