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Publication date: May 1, 2025
It is Thursday, May 1. The AEX closed today and closed Wednesday in regular trading hours at 877. That is 10 points (1.15%) higher than last week's reading.
What happened on the AEX over the past week?
After the past turbulent trading weeks, this week has been a quiet one on the stock market for now. The AEX opened the week at 876 and set a high at 878 and a low at 868. The measure of volatility is back at the level between 20 and 25 after it shot out above 50 at the beginning of the month. Friday at 2:30 pm, the monthly labor figures in the US are published. This may still cause some movement.
What does this mean for sentiment on the AEX?
Sentiment on the AEX is calm but remains uncertain.The ongoing trade war and its potential effects are key factors contributing to the prevailing uncertainty in sentiment.
What is the expectation on the AEX?
The expectation is broadly unchanged. Our algorithm indicates that the recovery is completed around the current level and that we are facing another moving period in which we should expect a decline to around 765. Then the major uptrend will be resumed, and we can move on to new highs above 950 again.
Here is the chart of the AEX as of November 2024. The arrows indicate the most likely scenario for the coming months.
What happened on the Nasdaq this past week?
The Nasdaq futures are currently at 19,980, which is 1,330 points (7.1%) higher than last week's reading.
The Nasdaq futures are going through a very strong trading week, recovering beyond the expected 19,500 mark. The Nasdaq already opened at that level. The low has been 19,100 and the weekly high for now is 20,000.
What is the expectation for the Nasdaq future?
Our algorithm gives as the most likely scenario that the recovery in the Nasdaq will end at the current level, and the price will make another move down to around 16,800. After that, the uptrend will continue towards the price target 24,000.
Below is the chart of the Nasdaq futures as of November 2024 with the most likely scenario.
What happened on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Index this past week?
The DJIA is currently trading at 41,100 points, which is 1,600 points (4%) higher than last week's reading.
With that, the DJIA also experienced a strong trading week. This week, the DJIA opened higher at 40,200 and set the low at 39,860 and is currently fluctuating around the weekly high of 41,135.
What is the outlook for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index?
As with the Nasdaq futures, in the most likely scenario, the algorithm expects the DJIA to complete the recovery at the current level and then finish the major correction at the 36,000 level. After that, the uptrend continues with a price target of 48,000.
Below is the chart of the DJIA futures from November 2024 with the most likely scenario plotted.
Every Sunday morning, we publish the agenda for the coming week. Would you like to receive the stock market agenda by mail? Sign up here.
In the fair agenda, we cover the most important topics through an explanation and vision. You can read the agenda for the week from April 28 to May 2, 2025, here, and from Sunday morning, you can read the agenda for the week from May 5 to May 9, 2025, here.
Disclaimer: Investing involves risk. Our analysts are not financial advisors. Always consult an advisor when making financial decisions. The information and tips provided on this website are based on our analysts' own insights and experiences. They are therefore for educational purposes only.
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