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Publication date: August 21, 2025
It is Thursday, August 21. The AEX is at 907 in the morning session. That is 16 points (1.8%) higher than last week's reading.
What happened on the AEX in the past week?
The AEX has continued its recovery from 880 in recent days with a weekly high at 910 points.
What does this mean for sentiment on the AEX?
Underlying sentiment on the AEX is positive.
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What is the expectation on the AEX?
The longer-term expectation is unchanged positive. In the most likely scenario of our algorithm, the AEX is going to rise to the price target 1,050.
In the short term, the most likely scenario is that the AEX will go through a slight correction to around 903-900 before continuing the advance to the next stop in the 945-950 zone. The stoploss for the buy position is set at a closing price below 870.
Above is the chart of the AEX as of March 2025. The arrows indicate the most likely scenario for the next few months.
What happened on the Nasdaq this past week?
The Nasdaq futuresare at 23.3400 on Thursday morning, August 21 that is 580 points (2.4%) lower than last week.
The Nasdaq futures are currently correcting from the sharp rise of the past few months. The weekly high is 23,880 and the weekly low is 23,020.
What is the outlook for the Nasdaq futures?
Longer-term unchanged positive with price target 26,300. The correction was expected and may last a little longer. In the most likely scenario, the Nasdaq futures could test the level in the 22,800 to 22,300 zone in the short term and then continue to rise towards the price target at 26,300.
Below is the chart of the Nasdaq futures from February 2025 with the most likely scenario.
What happened on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Index this past week?
The DJIA is currently trading at 44,950 points, which is 75 points (0.15%) lower than last week's reading.
As expected over the past week, the DJIA is moving sideways around 45,000 points.
What is the outlook for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index?
For the longer term, the expectation is positive. For the short term, the DJIA may start a sideways move towards the 45,300 level. The expectation in the most likely scenario is then a breakout above 45,300 to finish positive trend toward price target 49,000. With a closing position above 45,300, you can consider a buy position.
Below is the chart of DJIA futures from February 2025 with the most likely scenario plotted.
Every Sunday morning we publish the stock market agenda for the coming week. Would you like to receive the stock market agenda by mail? Sign up here.
In the agenda, we discuss the most important topics by means of an explanation and vision. Here you can read the agenda for August 18 through August 22, 2025 and from Friday afternoon you can read the agenda for the week of August 25 through August 29, 2025.
Disclaimer: Investing involves risk. Our analysts are not financial advisors. Always consult an advisor when making financial decisions. The information and tips provided on this website are based on our analysts' own insights and experiences. They are therefore for educational purposes only.
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