Publication date: April 9, 2026
AEX
The AEX is trading at 1,003 points on Thursday morning, April 9th, representing a rise of 35 points or 3.6% compared to last week.
Market development
The index opened cautiously on Tuesday at 973 and fell back that day to its lowest weekly level of 968. After President Donald Trump made positive remarks on Tuesday evening regarding developments in the Middle East conflict, the index climbed to 1,008 points on Wednesday. This price movement of over 3% once again highlights that the market is strongly influenced by this conflict. Geopolitical tensions continue to persist, however, due to uncertainty surrounding the further course of the war involving Iran.
Sentiment
Short-term sentiment is cautiously optimistic, but remains uncertain.
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Forecast
In the short term, the recovery appears likely to continue toward 1,017 points. From that level, we expect the larger correction to complete with a decline toward the 920–940 point zone.
For the longer term, the positive scenario remains intact. The 920–940 zone can serve as a base for a new upward trend toward approximately 1,070 points within twelve months.
A close below 910 points would invalidate this scenario and shift the technical picture to neutral to negative. As long as this level holds, the long-term outlook remains constructive.
The chart above shows the AEX from August 2025 onwards, including the projected price path.
Nasdaq futures
The Nasdaq futures contract is trading at 25,015 points on Thursday morning, April 9th, representing a rise of 1,165 points or 4.9% compared to last week.
Market Development
The week started cautiously for the Nasdaq futures around the 24,000 point level. The index then rose sharply on Tuesday evening, reaching a preliminary weekly high of 25,257 points on Wednesday.
Forecast
In the short term, the Nasdaq may extend its gains toward approximately 26,000 points.
From that level, we expect a larger corrective move toward 22,600 points. Following this, the long-term upward trend can resume, with a price target around 28,500 points.
The chart below shows the Nasdaq futures from May 2025 onwards, including the projected scenario.
Dow Jones Industrial Average
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is currently trading at 47,980 points, a rise of 1,620 points or 3.5% compared to last week.
Market development
The index opened the week around 46,500 points and climbed to 48,250 on Wednesday following the positive developments in the Middle East conflict. It thereby shows the same price pattern as the other major stock indices.
Forecast
In the short term, the DJIA may see a further rise toward approximately 49,700 points.
For the medium term, we anticipate a continuation of the corrective phase toward 43,200 points. This level can serve as a base for the next upward move toward approximately 53,700 points.
The chart below shows the DJIA futures from June 2025 onwards, including the projected path.
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