Publication date: April 2, 2026
AEX
The AEX is trading at 968 points on Thursday morning, April 2, down 5 points or 0.5% from last week.
Market development
The index opened Monday expectantly at 958 points and rose to 976 points after positive statements by President Donald Trump on the situation in the Middle East. Later that day, a more bellicose speech caused a rapid decline toward the levelsof the beginning of the week.
This move confirms the current market picture, in which geopolitical developments, especially around Iran, have a direct and dominant influence on price movements.
Sentiment
Short-term sentiment remains fragile with slightly negative overtones.
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Forecast
In the short term, a recovery to 992-997 points seems plausible. From that level, a resumption of the correction is obvious, with a decline towards the 920-940 points zone.
For the longer term, the positive scenario remains intact. The 920-940 points zone can act as a foundation for a new upward phase towards around 1,070 points within twelve months.
A close below 910 points invalidates this scenario and shifts the technical picture to neutral to negative. As long as this level holds, the long-term perspective remains constructive.
The chart above shows the AEX as of August 2025, including the expected price trend.
Nasdaq futures
The Nasdaq futures are trading Thursday morning, April 2, at 23,850 points, down 305 points or 1.25% from last week.
Market Development
The Nasdaq futures opened the week weak, reaching the week's low at 23,770 points on Monday. The same day also saw the highest weekly reading at 24,765 points, indicating a highly volatile trading day.In the following days, the price fell slightly and stabilized.
Forecast
Based on current momentum, a recovery to around 25,000 points seems likely.
From that level, we expect a new, broader corrective move towards 22,600 points.Following that, the long-term upward trend can resume, with a price target around 28,500 points.
The chart below shows Nasdaq futures as of June 2025, including the expected price trend for the coming period.
Dow Jones Industrial Average
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is currently trading at 46,360 points, moving almost in line with last week.
Market development
The index remains relatively stable. A low at 45,049 points was followed by a strong recovery to 47,046 points, underscoring the market's underlying resilience.
Forecast
In the short term, a further rise to around 48,100 points is obvious.
For the medium term, we foresee a corrective phase towards 43,200 points. This level can serve as a potential bottom and basis for another upward movement towards around 53,700 points.
The chart below shows the DJIA futures from August 2025, with the expected movement.
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