Publication date: May 7, 2026
AEX
The AEX notes 1,028 points on Thursday morning, May 7, up 30 points, or 3% from last week.
Market development
The AEX opened Monday morning around Friday's close at 1,015. On the same day, the AEX had to fall sharply, reaching the lowest level of the week at 1,003 points. On Wednesday, the rise began, causing the AEX to reach its preliminary highest-ever level at 1,036 points. The rise was mainly driven by good company figures and increasing expectations of a peace agreement in the conflict between the United States and Iran.
Sentiment
Short-term sentiment improved due to good corporate figures and increased hopes for an end to the Middle East conflict.However, considerable uncertainty remains about stock price movements in the coming months.
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Forecast
For the coming weeks, the most likely scenario is a correction towards the 980-985 points zone.
In the longer term, the positive scenario remains intact and our model expects another upward move towards the new price target of 1,080 points within twelve months.
A close below 920 points invalidates this scenario and shifts the technical picture to neutral to negative. As long as this level holds, the long-term perspective remains constructive.
The chart above shows the AEX as of early 2025, including the expected price trend.
Nasdaq futures
The Nasdaq futures are trading at 28,720 points on Thursday morning, May 7, up 1,350 points, or 4.9% from last week.
Market development
The Nasdaq futures are performing tremendously strong and better than expected. Over the past week, the price has once again reached a new record high at 28,814 points. With this, our previously set 12-month price target was reached in a straight line.
Forecast
According to our model, the Nasdaq will correct from the current level towards 26,500 points. After this correction, the long-term upward trend can resume, with an increased price target around 30,000 points.
The chart below shows the Nasdaq futures as of early 2025, including the expected scenario.
Dow Jones Industrial Average
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is currently trading at 50,050 points, up 1,325 points, or 2.7% from last week.
Market development
The DJIA is showing a strong price pattern.The index opened the week at 49,700 points and managed to rise through to its weekly high at 50,214 points on Thursday morning.
Forecast
In the short term, the Dow Jones may start a correction towards 48,000 points. This level can then act as the basis for a new upward movement towards the increased long-term price target at around 57,000 points.
The chart below shows the Dow Jones futures as of early 2025, including the expected price trend.
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