Publication Date: August 27, 2026
AEX
On Thursday morning, August 27, the AEX stood at 1,107 points. That is 5 points, or 0.45%, higher than last week.
Market Trends
The AEX started the trading week calmly at 1,103 points. Ahead of the U.S. inflation figures for July and Nvidia’s quarterly results both of which were released on Wednesday the index moved somewhat aimlessly between 1,103 and 1,113 points.
The inflation figures were in line with expectations, and Nvidia once again managed to exceed the already very high expectations. The reaction on the AEX was mixed on Thursday morning. Chip stocks traded higher, while lower share prices of heavyweights Shell and Unilever put pressure on the index.
Sentiment
Short-term sentiment surrounding the AEX remains mixed and uncertain.
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Outlook
The AEX is moving in line with our forecast. According to our model, the index could first test the area around 1,080 points from its record high of 1,121 points. After a possible rebound toward approximately 1,100 points, our base scenario anticipates a correction toward 1,050 points.
For the long term, the positive scenario remains intact. Following this correction, our model anticipates a new upward move toward the price target of 1,230 points.
The chart above shows the AEX’s price movement from the beginning of 2026, including our expected scenario.
Nasdaq Futures
On Thursday morning, August 27, the Nasdaq futures contract is trading at 29,640 points. This puts the futures contract at exactly the same level as last week.
Market Developments
The Nasdaq futures contract started the week quietly at 29,400 points, as investors awaited Nvidia’s quarterly earnings. The futures then fell slightly to around 29,000 points, before reaching 29,660 points on Thursday morning the highest level of the week so far.
Nvidia’s earnings were well received, causing the stock to trade about 5% higher in premarket trading.
Sentiment
Long-term sentiment toward the tech sector remains strong. Following a period of uncertainty, short-term sentiment is also becoming more positive.
Outlook
Our model currently considers a short-term upward move toward 32,750 points to be the most likely scenario. This means the likelihood of a major correction in the short term has decreased.
However, our model does take into account that, after reaching a new record high, a correction toward the 28,000-point range could still follow. Following this correction, we expect the long-term uptrend to resume, with a price target of approximately 34,500 points coming into view.
The chart below shows the price movement of the Nasdaq futures contract starting in early 2026, including our expected scenario.
Dow Jones futures
The Dow Jones futures are currently trading at 53,510 points. That is only a 15-point difference from last week.
Market Trends
Over the past week, the Dow Jones futures contract moved sideways within a range of approximately 53,200 to 53,800 points.
Sentiment
The underlying sentiment surrounding the Dow Jones futures remains positive, although there is still some uncertainty in the short term.
Outlook
According to our model, the futures contract may still rebound slightly in the short term. After that, we anticipate a further correction toward 51,500 points.
This level could then serve as a foundation for a new upward move toward the long-term price target of approximately 58,700 points.
The chart below shows the price movement of the Dow Jones futures contract from the beginning of 2026, including our expected scenario.
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