Scholarship calendar: April 28 - May 2, 2025

Written by Yelza blogger | Apr 25, 2025 2:08:02 PM

Publication date: April 25, 2025

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The week ahead: Labor figures US

In Money Care's weekend report, we present you with an overview of the (macroeconomic) events that could cause movement in the stock markets.

Brief review of last week:

Last week, the trade war between the United States and China saw a series of conflicting signals and tensions, with hopes for de-escalation alternating with tough positions from both sides.

President Donald Trump suggested that the US and China are "actively" in talks about lowering import tariffs. He hinted at a possible reduction to 50 - 65% and stated that a trade deal is possible within weeks. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent called the current tariffs "unsustainable" and compared them to a virtual trade boycott. Although these comments sent U.S. stock markets soaring, Bessent stressed that no formal negotiations are taking place.

China strongly denied that talks are currently taking place with the U.S. Both the Foreign Ministry and the Ministry of Commerce called Trump's statements "fake news" and stressed that no negotiations have begun. China demands that the U.S. first completely remove all unilateral tariffs before any talks can take place at all.

Although the US is adopting a milder tone and giving hints about possible tariff reductions, China insists on its demand for full tariff elimination as a precondition for talks. The impasse between the two countries continues, and without concrete steps, the situation remains uncertain.

Coming week:

In the coming week, we look forward to the inflation figures from the US and EU, but especially the monthly labor figures (NFP) from the US.

The NFP is important data for the FED regarding its monetary policy. In the US, there is bipartisanship between the FED and President Trump. The Fed fears an increase in inflation due to the import tariffs imposed by Mr. Trump and sees no reason to lower interest rates.

Instead, Donald Trump wants interest rate cuts to spur the economy. That led to another uproar in the U.S. in recent weeks, but that has since been put to rest. President Trump again went in with two outstretched legs against the Fed, but still had to step back last week. Something we can expect more often.

The NFP may give cause for the Fed to still announce an interest rate cut. If inflation stays under control and the labor figures disappoint slightly, the Fed may just meet President Trump's wish in its next meeting.

Inflation figures come out of the U.S. on Wednesday, but we pay particular attention to the monthly labor figures (NFP) at 2:30 p.m. on Friday.

The stock market calendar week 18:

Here is the most important economic data for the coming week.

Monday, April 28, 2025:

No important economic dates

Tuesday, April 29, 2025:

United States:
- 16.00 Consumer confidence expected: 88.5

Wednesday, April 30, 2025:

United States:
- 14.15 ADP employment change April
- 14.30 GDP Q1 expected: 0.4%
- 16.00 Core PCE Price Index March expected: 0.1%
Germany:
- 10.00 GDP Q1
- 14.00 CPI April

Thursday, May 1, 2025:

Europe:
- Labor Day. Stock markets in Europe closed

Friday, May 2, 2025:

Europe:
- 11.00 CPI April
United States:
- 14.30 Average hourly earnings April expected: 0.3%
- 14.30 Non-farm payrolls April expected: 130,000
- 14.30 Unemployment rate April expected: 4.2%

Please note that dates and times of these events may change. For the most up-to-date information, it is advisable to consult the official communication channels of the relevant organizations and governments.

Disclaimer: Investing involves risks. Our analysts are not financial advisors. Always consult an advisor when making financial decisions. The information and tips provided on this website are based on our analysts' own insights and experiences. They are therefore for educational purposes only.

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