On August 28, 2025, we covered Bitcoin in the article, "Bitcoin: Technical correction imminent? Be prepared!". In this article, we gave you the consideration to be alert in the $130,000 to $140,000 zone to reduce positions and prepare for a longer correction until the zone around $75,000.
At this point, we are four months along and it is time for a review and update on the opportunities that may arise in the coming year. It promises to be another year of good opportunities, but also one that will require alertness and some patience on the part of investors.
Click HERE for the August 28, 2025 article "Bitcoin: Technical correction imminent? Be prepared!". That way you'll be fully informed.
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What has been the development of the Bitcoin exchange rate since the summer of 2025?
At the end of August 2025, the price was around $110,000 and was on its way to our stated maximum level of $140,000. In early October, however, the advance stranded at its highest ever level of $126,000. With this, all but a few percent failed to reach the expected $130,000 to $140,000 zone, and from the $126,000 level, Bitcoin began the expected correction. The lowest level in recent months was reached on Nov. 17 at $80,000.
The recent decline can be traced to a combination of factors. For example, the price pressure is not isolated, but part of a broader correction within risky assets. Technology and AI stocks in particular have lost ground, reinforcing the negative sentiment. The connection between Bitcoin and equity markets has increased in recent years, in part because both institutional and retail investors are active in both markets.
In addition, a clear turnaround is visible in Bitcoin ETFs. Whereas when prices were rising there were still solid inflows, we have recently seen net outflows. This indicates that some of the institutional investors are taking profits or consciously reducing risk.
What is currently the international analysts' view of the Bitcoin price?
Typical of crypto is that analysts are very divided. Nevertheless, a general picture can be drawn. Short-term sentiment is cautious to slightly negative. Analysts note that the market is currently nervous and that there are risks before the trend turns positive again. This is partly due to macro factors such as interest rate policy and institutional risk moments. The medium- to long-term outlook remains mixed but often positive.
Many analysts continue to believe Bitcoin's structural fundamentals such as institutional demand, ETF participation and adoption support a higher price over the longer term. The average price target for 2026 has been set by analysts at $150,000.
What is our view on the price of Bitcoin?
Below is the Bitcoin price chart as of May 2024. At a glance, the arrows indicate our most likely scenario for the next few years.
The plotted most likely scenario shows that we can expect a transition period in 2026. Leading up to our unchanged multi-year price target $175,000.
During this transitional year, the stock price is expected to eventually correct to the $70,000 to $60,000 zone before jumping to the price target.
In the transition year, we can indeed expect significant price swings again. For example, the share price is expected to recover substantially to the $110,000 area in the first half of 2026.
In short; the expectation is a slightly lower price on balance at the end of 2026 but there are great opportunities ahead. The transition year also provides good entry points for the year that follows.
Conclusion
With a high price at $126,000, we assume that you still have the buying position (partly) as the indicated $130,000-$140,000 has actually just not been achieved. For both short-term and long-term views, our system can largely go along with the average analyst expectation.
From the current level of about $87,000, we expect a decline to about $75,000. At this level you can consider entering or extending the position for a recovery to around $110,000. Short-term investors can consider partially liquidating the position at this point. In 2026, the price is expected to finish the larger correction in the $70,000 - $60,000 zone.
At that time you can expect an update from us anyway, but you can already take into account that from then on the price is ready for a sharp rise to around $175,000. So the coming year presents opportunities for the more active investor and requires some patience from the longer-term investor in Bitcoin.
Disclaimer: Investing involves risk. Our analysts are not financial advisors. Always consult an advisor when making financial decisions. The information and tips provided on this website are based on our analysts' own insights and experiences. They are therefore for educational purposes only.